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Tuesday, December 6

Resources related to Crime Mapping
by
Tom Johnson
on Tue 06 Dec 2005 08:04 PM MST
We
don't know if there has as yet been any empirical research done on how
interested media consumers are in online crime mapping -- and how good the coverage is -- but there is a body of
literature debating readers' interest in crime per se. It would
seem to be a pretty good bet, though, that if people are interested in
crime AND if more and more are going online via broadband, that
some dynamic crime maps would get some hits.
Remember
that crime mapping is not just about pushing digital push-pins on a
map, GoogleMap or otherwise. "Journey to Crime" maps or maps
showing where a car was stolen and when it was recovered can provide
interesting insights.
Here are some links recently posted to the CrimeMapping listserv that could be of value to journalists:
Journey-after-crime: How Far and to Which Direction DO They Go?
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/maps/boston2004/papers/Lu.ppt
Linking Offender Residence Probability Surfaces to a Specific Incident Location
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/maps/dallas2001/Gore.doc
Journey to Crime Estimation
http://www.icpsr.umich.edu/CRIMESTAT/files/CrimeStatChapter.10.pdf
Applications for Examining the Journey-to-Crime Using Incident-Based Offender Residence Probability Surfaces
http://pqx.sagepub.com/cgi/content/refs/7/4/457
The Geography of Transit Crime:
http://www.uctc.net/papers/550.pdf
See, too: Paulsen, Derek J. "WRONG SIDE OF THE TRACKS: EXPLORING THE ROLE OF NEWSPAPER COVERAGE OF HOMICIDE IN SOCIALLY CONSTRUCTING DANGEROUS PLACES." Journal of Criminal Justice and Popular Culture, 9(3) (2002) 113-127
Monday, December 5

Indirect indicators. Or maybe not.
by
Tom Johnson
on Mon 05 Dec 2005 04:20 PM MST
Sometimes
journalists have a tendency to be too literal. We want to ask a
question and we want the response to be a quote that is without
ambiguity. One that's fills in some of the space between our
anecdotes. But other times, we need tools that work like a
periscope, a device that allows us to not look at the object directly
but through a helpful lens. Such periscopes for analyzing the
economy are indirect indicators.
Monday's
(5 Dec. 2005) NYTimes' Business Section was loaded with references to
such indicators that journos could keep in mind when looking for
devices to show and explain what's happening. Check out "What's Ahead: Blue Skies, or More Forecasts of Them?" Be sure to click on the link "Graphic: Indicators From Everyday Life"
Another indirector was mentined Sunday on National Public Radio in "Economic Signs Remain Strong" There, an economist said he tracks changes in the "titanium dioxide" data, the compound is used in all white paint and reflects manufacturing production.

Tilling the soil makes for fertile crops, Congressionally speaking.
by
Tom Johnson
on Mon 05 Dec 2005 11:42 AM MST
Kudos to Derek Willis and Adrian Holovaty of The Washington Post for the Washingtonpost.com site "U.S. Congress Votes Database." One element we find of recent and special interest is the "late night votes"
variables for both the House and Senate. With a little more
probing and data slicing and dicing, it would make an interesting bit
of visual
statistics/infographics to do a longitudinal comparison of the time of
votes in various congresses.
This site/searchable database is a fine example of how investing in some basic data preparation
can create the potential for a ton of stories. Why, for example, do
Democrats have such a preponderance (18 out of 20) of Representatives on the "missed
votes" list, but only 9 out of 20 on the similar list for the Senate?
This is
also a fine example of how a newspaper can do good things for itself
while doing good things for the community and readers. This
database gives the WP reporters and editors a quick look-up of
Congressional activity, the kind of fact and detail that can enrich a
story. At the same time, citizens can turn to this value-added
form of the public record to answer their own questions.
Derek Willis wrote to the news librarians listserv:
"Folks,
It's not part of a story or series, but the Post today launched a site
that may prove useful to your newsrooms or even as an inspiration to
learn Python: a congressional votes database that covers the
102nd-109th congresses (1991-present). Currently browsable, we're
working on adding a search engine and other features to it. Adrian
Holovaty, who works for washingtonpost.com, and I assembled the data
and he built the web framework to display it. All of the data is
gathered using Python, the database backend is PostgreSQL and the web
framework is Django."
Saturday, December 3

Decentralized, complex adaptive systems meet realpolitik and journalism. Finally.
by
Tom Johnson
on Sat 03 Dec 2005 03:23 PM MST
A
couple of articles have passed across our desk in recent days that
illustrate the impact -- and importance of understanding --
decentralized (or "distributed") systems and complex adaptive systems.
For starters, take a look at "Reinventing 911
How a swarm of networked citizens is building a better emergency broadcast system."
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/13.12/warning.html
Author Gary Wolf writes: "I've been talking with security experts about one of the thorniest
problems they face: How can we protect our complex society from massive
but unpredictable catastrophes? The homeland security establishment has
spent an immeasurable fortune vainly seeking an answer, distributing
useless, highly specialized equipment, and toggling its multicolored
Homeland Security Advisory System back and forth between yellow, for
elevated, and orange, for high. Now I've come [to Portland, Oregon] to take a look at a
different set of tools, constructed outside the control of the federal
government and based on the notion that the easier it is for me to find
out about a loose dog tying up traffic, the safer I am from a terrorist
attack.
"To understand the true nature of warnings, it helps to see them not
as single events, like an air-raid siren, but rather as swarms of
messages racing through overlapping social networks, like the buzz of
gossip. Residents of New Orleans didn't just need to know a hurricane
was coming. They also needed to be informed that floodwaters were
threatening to breach the levees, that not all neighborhoods would be
inundated, that certain roads would become impassible while alternative
evacuation routes would remain open, that buses were available for
transport, and that the Superdome was full.
"No central authority possessed this information. Knowledge was
fragmentary, parceled out among tens of thousands of people on the
ground. There was no way to gather all these observations and deliver
them to where they were needed. During Hurricane Katrina, public
officials from top to bottom found themselves locked within
conventional channels, unable to receive, analyze, or redistribute news
from outside. In the most egregious example, Homeland Security
secretary Michael Chertoff said in a radio interview that he had not
heard that people at the New Orleans convention center were without
food or water. At that point they'd been stranded two days.
"By contrast, in the system Botterell created for California,
warnings are sucked up from an array of sources and sent automatically
to users throughout the state. Messages are squeezed into a standard
format called the Common Alerting Protocol, designed by Botterell in
discussion with scores of other disaster experts. CAP gives precise
definitions to concepts like proximity, urgency, and certainty.
Using CAP, anyone who might respond to an emergency can choose to get
warnings for their own neighborhood, for instance, or only the most
urgent messages. Alerts can be received by machines, filtered, and
passed along. The model is simple and elegant, and because warnings can
be tagged with geographical coordinates, users can customize their cell
phones, pagers, BlackBerries, or other devices to get only those
relevant to their precise locale."
Second item of interest
I'm sure many of you noted Dexter Filkins Pg1 lead story in the NYT on
Friday, 2 Dec. 2005. The online version headline is "Profusion of Rebel Groups Helps Them Survive in Iraq." That, unfortunately, lacks the truth and insight of the print version headline:
"Loose Structure of Rebels Helps them Survive in Iraq -- While Al Qaeda Gains Attention, Many Small Groups Attack on Their Own."
It
seems that finally someone in the journalism community has figured out
that what's happening in Iraq -- and around the world -- is a
decentralize, CAS. Too bad journalists -- journalism educators, students and professionals -- haven't been exposed to the
concepts and vocabulary to really present the problem in all its, ahem,
complexity.
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