One of the folks on Crimemapping made a fine contribution today filled with "heads-up" tips when it comes to crime mapping. Gary Lopez, a crime analyst for the Connecticut State Police, suggests....
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Tuesday, March 29
by
Tom Johnson
on Tue 29 Mar 2005 06:00 PM MST
The CrimeMap listserv
is one of the best around for nuts-and-bolts tips. Most of its
contributors are professional crime analysts (unlike journalists who,
it must be said, are semi-pros at best). To subscribe, check out http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/nij/maps/listserv.html
One of the folks on Crimemapping made a fine contribution today filled with "heads-up" tips when it comes to crime mapping. Gary Lopez, a crime analyst for the Connecticut State Police, suggests.... "The analysis of traffic accidents is an
interesting one. My perspective is looking at, for the most part, interstate
highways. State Police Departments as a general rule have jurisdiction for
the enforcement of crime, traffic accidents, and motor vehicle enforcement on
interstate highways. In Connecticut, we are able to pick up a good "X" and "Y"
for every accident. We then take the data and run it through Spatial Analyst.
In looking at motor vehicle accidents on interstate highways you may
find:
1.
Some traffic accident hotspots occur in very dangerous areas, ones that do not
lend themselves to offering a great deal of motor vehicle enforcement. That is
to say, if you use high visibility enforcement you might be in a very congested
area with high traffic volume. The area is already hazardous and might not
offer any safe area for ticketing. Enforcement in these areas might actually
contribute to accidents. I have been told by some veteran officers the "trick"
is to get people in and out of large metropolitan areas as fast as
possible.
2. The design of the highways and surrounding
areas might have a greater effect on accidents than enforcement. To effectively
lower accidents on interstates you have to have long range plans that include
all agencies that govern the highway. I believe you will find many of the
traffic accident hotspots on interstates fall right in the middle of where two
or more interstate highways converge. In Hartford for example, you have I-84
and I-91 intersecting in the middle of the city. People have to make decisions
on going north and south/east and west. Of course in the afternoon, you have
that sun in your eyes. These types of decisions have to be made in seconds, and
for those people not familiar with the area are at even more of a disadvantage.
Highway design plays a huge factor in highway accidents.
3. In doing time studies of motor vehicle
accidents, many are occurring at changes of shifts, and at peak times where
police services are at a premium. On interstates, especially around
metropolitan areas you will find most of the accidents are occurring
around 07:00 to 09:00 and then at 15:00 to 18:00. This is the precise time
people are coming home from work and children getting out from school; a time
that has high demand for all police services.
4.
It is very interesting to plot DWI Accidents, meaning those accidents in which
DWI was the cause of the accident. You may find that your highest
concentrations of accidents occur near routes going to major universities, large
entertainment complexes, or perhaps to out of state jurisdictions where the
drinking age might be lower or where bars stay open longer. In these
circumstances select enforcement can be effective.
5.
Careful consideration should be given to areas of the highway that are
undergoing construction. Police visibility should be present to get people to
slow down. Strict enforcement of speed limits in these areas may yield to a
lower accident rate.
In
closing, I believe you will find the most accidents are occurring on interstates
where there are very high volume of cars, little or no highway shoulders, areas
that could benefit from a better design and where interstate highways meet. The
answer to a reduction to these accidents is a difficult one to find. Giving out
more tickets is not necessarily the answer."
Gary
Lopez
Crime
Analysis Unit
Connecticut State Police
Friday, March 25
by
JTJ
on Fri 25 Mar 2005 06:51 PM MST
Xcelsius
does magical things for your Excel spreadsheets. It turns the
numeric data into controlable Flash charts, which can be standalone
"movies," imported into PowerPoint or sent to colleagues as
click-and-manipulate e-mail. Check out the Quicktime demos at http://www.infommersion.com/demos.html
Thursday, March 24
by
JTJ
on Thu 24 Mar 2005 06:29 PM MST
This Gallery of Data Visualization displays some examples of the
Best and Worst of Statistical
Graphics, with the view that the contrast may be useful,
inform current practice, and provide some pointers to both historical and current work.
We go from what is arguably
the best statistical graphic ever drawn,
to the current record-holder for the worst.
See http://www.math.yorku.ca/SCS/Gallery/
by
JTJ
on Thu 24 Mar 2005 05:31 PM MST
There are many things that faster computers have made possible in recent years.
For [journalists], scientists, engineers, statisticians, managers, investors, and others,
computers have made it possible to create models that simulate reality and aid in
making predictions. One of the methods for simulating real systems is the ability to take
into account randomness by investigating hundreds of thousands of different scenarios.
The results are then compiled and used to make decisions. This is what Monte Carlo
simulation is about.
by
JTJ
on Thu 24 Mar 2005 05:00 PM MST
For yet-to-be-determined reasons, the blog isn't easily viewed today if you're using IE. However, folks using Mozilla or Firefox seem
to have no problem. Yet another reason to dump IE. We're
trying to solve this head scratcher (any suggestions most welcome), but
until we do, fire up any browser but IE.
by
JTJ
on Thu 24 Mar 2005 12:04 AM MST
Today's prognostication: Fifty
to 100 years from now, historians and demographers will look at the era
from 1990 to 2005 as one characterized by intense global population
mobility.
Any major city in Southeast Asia these days is loaded with people from throughout that broad region. Any major citiy in Europe is loaded with people from other nations, especially the former USSR, the Mideast and Africa. And the blending of geography, demography and economics makes for fascinating stories IF we have the tools to tease out the interesting and important facts and trends. The Jan-March 2005 issue of ESRI's ArcUser magazine is especially rich for analytic journalists and the JAGIS [Journalism and GIS] crowd. The latter will be especially interested in: "GIS Tracks Earnings Sent Home by Mexican Migrants." The piece, by two geographers from SUNY-Cortland, illustrates the money flow to individual Mexican states. Unfortunately we don't have data and maps showing the U.S. states-of-origin of those dollars, but the methodology will be of interest to geographers and journalists everywhere. GIS Management is essentially the same as managing a CAR or Analytic Journalism operation in a news organization. The same issue of ArcUser leads with three articles on how to establish successful GIS programs; just replace "GIS" with "AJ" and the concepts translate easily. So check out "Enterpriseing GIS Management" ; "Supporting Successful Enterprise GIS Solutions" ; "Building an Enterprise GIS in a Limited Fiscal Environment"; "Evaluating Enterprise GIS Requirements" and "Powering Up Your Enterprise GIS." Finally, the IAJ gang has been promoting performance measurement (and forensic accounting) as important tools for journalists for the past couple years. Another story in ArcUser, "Performance Measurement in Local Government," illustrates how GIS is a valuable analytic and measurement tool, one which journalists could easily adopt. Wednesday, March 23
by
JTJ
on Wed 23 Mar 2005 03:49 PM MST
The conference will take place in Amsterdam, from September 29th to October 2nd. We have been able to keep the registration fee really low at 390 euro, which includes three lunches and drinks. If you register before May 15th it is even cheaper, as an early bird discount of 35 euro applies. Participation in the celebration dinner on Saturday night is not included. It costs 60 euro, including drinks. Registration for the conference and the celebration dinner is possible only through the VVOJ website on
https://www.vvoj.nl/activity.php?activiteitscode=con0501. Direct payment is required, either by MasterCard or Visa. Cancellation policy: There is a 10 percent cancellation fee for all cancellations until August 17th, 2005. From August 17th until September 14th the cancellation fee is 50 percent. Refunds will not be given for cancellations after September 14th, 2005."
by
JTJ
on Wed 23 Mar 2005 03:11 PM MST
Tom Koch is an early-adapter of the tools of analytic journalism and a friend of the IAJ.
"In an important new book to be published by ESRI Press in spring 2005, author Koch explores the role that mapping has played in man's ongoing struggle to understand and treat illness. In Cartographies of Disease: Maps, Mapping, and Medicine,
he argues that we are all fellow travelers in the war against disease
as well as agents complicit in their engagement. The communities we
build, the technologies that enable them, and the commerce that
sustains them together assure an environment favorable to the advance
of microscopic disease agents. In a real way, medical science plays
catch-up with the health problems we create in our evolving society;
its scientific advances are a response to the diseases we foster
through economic, environmental, and social choices."--ESRI catalog blurb
by
Patrick Mattimore
on Wed 23 Mar 2005 01:25 PM PST
by
JTJ
on Wed 23 Mar 2005 02:12 PM MST
Media Matters for America points out a bogus use of bar charts by CNN. Yes, the scale and base line DO matter. See http://mediamatters.org/items/200503220005 Update: CNN corrected its chart. |
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