Today's New York Times Science Section carries a column by Richard Friendman, M.D. about the challenge of explaining statistical concepts and probability to anyone.  (Even journalists?)  His conclusion: "The truth is that random events can make or break us.  It is more comforting to believe in the power of hard work and merit than to think that probability reigns not only in the casino but in daily life."

So there.

See: "Mix Math and Medicine and Create Confusion."